2022년 3월 18일 금요일

History Club Member's Personal Opinion - The Future of Korea After Unification

 There are some Koreans who oppose unification or have passive thoughts because the national economy can be difficult if it is unified. This is a misconception that arises only in the case of German reunification, which stems from a short-sighted way of thinking. In fact, if our country is unified, the economy could become temporarily difficult. Increased unemployment due to economic deterioration, cost burden due to vulnerability of all facilities in North Korea, difficulty in integrating the extreme economic size difference between the two (20:1), overcoming half-century of isolated heterogeneity... But the long-term benefits of unification are far more... No, it's incomparably big. Our unification effect cannot simply be compared with Germany. This is because Germany and Korea have different forms of division. This is a problem that can be easily concluded after reviewing some data. First, when unified, our country's population will be 70 million and the area will be 220,000 square. This size is by no means a small country. When considering the economic power of each country, we look at the domestic market of the country's domestic market. Hyundai companies have a lot of difficulties in terms of competitiveness if the domestic market is small. The standard is estimated at 70 million worldwide. And when we look at South Korea, we are saturated with population, factories, and pollution. Second, it can attract foreign investment and investment by foreigners much more than now. The biggest reason why foreigners are reluctant to invest in Korea is that there is a risk of war because Korea is a divided country. The advantages are different from those of Germany. Germany is not a country that was at higher risk of war than us. Even now, South Korea's stock price drops sharply just by shooting a missile as an experiment in North Korea. Third, the reduction of defense spending. Currently, it maintains 1.8 million troops in total. 1.8 million is equivalent to the population of a country. It's really costing us astronomical amounts of money to maintain this large force. Even if it is unified, the army will continue to be maintained, but even if the military is reduced to 1/5 of the current level, it is possible to calculate the Gyeongbu Expressway with only a year's worth of money. Fourth, the influx of cheap labor in North Korea can fill the 3D labor force currently being filled by Southeast Asians. Currently, a lot of foreign currency is being withdrawn to the home country of foreign workers due to their foreign labor force, and if filled with North Koreans, foreign currency outflow can be prevented. Fifth, it is a huge amount of tourism revenue. Currently, Korea is the world's 17th largest tourist importer. Korea's tourism revenue is not very small, but if it is unified, Korea will become one of the top 10 tourism powers in the world due to increased cognitive effects due to unification, if it boasts clean scenery such as Geumgangsan Mountain, Myohyangsan Mountain, Baekdusan Mountain, and DMZ. Sixth, it is to advance to the mainland. Why did we betray Taiwan and establish diplomatic relations with China overnight? When unified, it passes through Yanbian, where our compatriots are in self-government, and even Beijing, China, it is a direct bread. Vladivostok in Russia is also straightforward. There are a lot of my countrymen there, too. Now, Japan is trying to break through an undersea tunnel with our country. Until we do such work, we are not that close to each other and there are various problems, so there is no full-scale discussion, but if it is unified, they will probably step up first and open an undersea tunnel at the expense of Japan. The opening of land routes to the continent is a tremendous adventure. Seventh, there are various effects of unification. For now, South Korea has the world's 11th largest economy with a population of 47 million. What about the size of the 70 million economy? Increasing the awareness of people around the world due to the expansion of the country's size is also a great. There are also underground resources and fishing resources that are not developed in North Korea. I'd like to look for more. Currently, we are losing too much compared to our ability to divide. The previous state bankruptcy caused the IMF economic support situation, but it has the potential to repay it in two years and return it to its current state. It is ridiculous not to unify because of the difficulties caused by unification temporarily. Germany is now the most competitive country in Europe after reunification, excluding its national defense capabilities. In addition, the volume of trade overtook Japan last year and rose to second place in the world. Let's not be pessimistic about reunification.

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